2008-02-06
Well, I did warn you that it was probably going to be a non-event. After all the delegates have been handed out, both Clinton and Obama will get around 830 each, with at most 10-15 delegates between them.
That'll teach the states to try and make themselves more important. At this point, even North Carolina may turn out to be a pivotal race. And a brokered convention is looking almost certain at this point, barring something extraordinary between now and the end of the primary season.
For the rest of the month, the momentum is probably with Obama. He should win the Washington caucus on Saturday and take most of the primaries in Virginia, DC, and Maryland next Tuesday. Clinton's hopes pin on the Ohio/Texas contests at the start of March. Unfortunately, that may mean she spends most of February looking like a loser. And Obama has a lot more money than she does at this point.
Over on the Republican side, well...we know that Mitt Romney isn't going to be the nominee, but again we knew that on Monday. The big surprise is the resurgence of Huckabee. Winning most of the Southern states must now put pressure on McCain to take him on the VP slot. Which would put him a heartbeat away from the Presidency (there's no getting around McCain's age, unfortunately). I think the Democrats would be fairly happy facing this combination. Especially considering the right-wing blog response so far.
See you next Wednesday!